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Why the Kansas City Royals Suck

I found an interesting article on the Kansas City Royals and their lack of plate discipline.

How bad has the Royals’ offense been?

Well, so far, Kansas City is scoring 3.28 runs per game. That’s 72.5 percent of the league average. By that measure over a full season, the Royals would be the worst offensive team in the American League in the era since the franchise came into existence.

The Royals offense sucks to put it mildly. The general manager of the team is one Dayton Moore. Mr. Moore’s philosophy is that plate discipline is not taught but acquired. Yeah right. Moore’s biography may be found by clicking here. Moore is a Fellowship of Christian Athletes guy. With Moore at the helm having total control of personnel decisions the Royals will not have a prayer. The dude just doesn’t get it.The team was next to last in walks and on-base-percentage. Moore’s big move was to add Jose Guillen into the middle of the lineup. Jay G has a lifetime three to one ratio of strikeouts to walks. This year the ratio is nine to one.

Dayton Moore doesn’t have a clue, of how to build a winning team.

The value of plate discipline measured.

Can We Explain the Ichiro Slump?

Explaining the Ichiro SlumpIchiro Suzuki has taken a wrong turn on the road to Cooperstown

His BA is .257 a little off from a career average of .332

Ichiro’s OBP is .319 which has brought his career number down to .378

So what is the problem? Let’s look at his Pitch Data Summary courtesy of

the Baseball Reference.

Ichiro is making contact. He is connecting on 93% of all pitches that he swings at, which is close to Wade Boggs numbers. Mr. Boggs made contact on 96% of his swings in one season, an absolutely phenomenal number. Ichiro overall averages 89%. In comparison the MLB average is only 80%.

He is swinging at more balls out of the strike zone, as evidenced by his PDS. Ichiro is not a great bad ball hitter and it shows, though conversely he is getting more walks than usual as he is averaging a BB per 11 plate appearances.

So the question for 2008 will be is Ichiro off to a slumping start or has his ability to drive the ball into the gap deteriorated at the ripe “old” age of 34?

The USA Needs to Retire the Penny and Baseball Needs to Retire BA

Bill Baer makes this modest proposal in an article on the baseball digest daily blog.

If you look at the formula for batting average and on-base percentage, you’ll find that BA (hits divided by at-bats) is in OBP ([hits plus walks plus hit-by-pitches] divided by [at-bats plus walks plus hit by pitches plus sacrifice flies])!

As a result of these facts, I am officially and formally requesting Major League Baseball to, at once, halt the use of batting average on their websites, on television and radio broadcasts, on the backs of baseball cards, in video games, in fantasy baseball leagues, among the numerous other venues in which batting average is used.

There is nothing to be gained from it; it is one of many vestigial statistics that haven’t yet been phased out by the evolution of statistics, much like your appendix. Let’s speed up that evolution by phasing out batting average from the baseball lexicon.

The entire article can be found here.

Bill James Wants My $3. Why He Isn’t Getting It. Yet…

After waiting for months for Bill James Online to launch, I was taken aback as if I was facing chin music from a hungover Bob Gibson.

The man wants three dollars. And he wants it every  month or else…

Bill run ads. You would make more money. Three dollars a month is a velvet rope.

Bill gets stats but I don’t know if he gets this free ‘net thing though.

If you go to the preview page, keep re-freshing to get teaser stats on baseball rankings for the hottest teams and players. Also he does basketball team power rankings.

How he drives these stats I don’t know because the Whats This? linky is not working.

Bad form Bill.

The rise of “freeconomics” is being driven by the underlying technologies that power the Web. Just as Moore’s law dictates that a unit of processing power halves in price every 18 months, the price of bandwidth and storage is dropping even faster. Which is to say, the trend lines that determine the cost of doing business online all point the same way: to zero.

Nats GM, Jim Bowden’s $10M Boob Job

Last summer Nats’ GM Jim Bowden, the omnipresent egomaniac, decided to give Dmitri “Hot Plate” Young a $10 million contract. Young was in the middle of earning the NL’s Comeback Player Of the Year, that much is true, but why give a huge contract to someone who could have been signed for less at the end of the season. It is not like anyone would pay much for a player with limited skills who has had problems dealing with success in the past. The team if they really wanted him could have bid for his services as a free agent.

The Young contract I suspect was Bowden’s way of giving himself a slap on the back for giving Dmitri a chance when MLB was turning their back on the underachieving, overeating trouble maker.

D-Young pays them back by sitting on his fat ass all winter and not picking up a bat or doing a single sit up.

Now Nick Johnson is back and Young is testing the dughouse infrastructure in the Nats’ new house.

Just as no one could have predicted a year ago that Young would resurrect his career with the Nationals and become a valued clubhouse leader, it would have been hard to predict his status with the franchise right now: a highly paid backup to Nick Johnson who isn’t even available to play at the moment.
 

But maybe the Nationals should have.

Bay Area Teams Trim Payrolls for 2008

The Bay area has  seen a precipitous drop in MLB salaries as both franchises are trimming payrolls and probably wins for the 2008 season. The San Francisco Giants sans Barry Bonds has seen their 2007 team salary decrease from $90,219.056 to the relatively paltry  $76,594,500.

The Oakland A’s (a  Billy Beane Money Ball franchise) $79,366,940 in 2007 salaries is now down to $47,967,126.The Detroit Tigers in sharp contrast went on a spending spree  $137,685,196 team salary is a sharp increase from 2007. Last year the team had a total team salary of $95,180,369. The auto industry may be on the ropes but that has not slowed down economics of Motor City Major League Baseball. The Tigers investments have already paid off.

The Tigers, who lost 119 games five years ago with a $49 million payroll, increased their payroll by $42.5 million from last year’s opening day and trail only the New York Yankees and Mets in payroll.

“We’re just trying to put the best club on the field as possible,” says Tigers President David Dombrowski, whose team has sold 2.6 million tickets, including a franchise-record 27,300 season tickets. “But economics always come into play.” USA Today

The Yankees at $209M once again lead the majors in salary expenditures. the mets arer second at  $137.8 million. The BoSawx are third at $133.4 million.

Track your favorite MLB team and its player salaries here.

Washington Nats News: From Flopez to Flop Made EZ

Felipe Lopez (.308/.352/.660) the over-priced Bowden pick up from his beloved Reds is officially a Flop. That is flop with a capital “F”!He has probably lost his starting position and may be replaced by Ron Belliard at 2B.When told that he may have to sit the $4.9M a year weenie had this to say.

“Bench?” López said Tuesday. “No. I already said that. No. Hell, no.”

Belliard, speaking diagonally across the same cramped locker room from López, countered with: “I’m not going to get upset. Whatever they decide is good with me.”

Good Ron. Ron who is the better hitter (.332/.427/.759) is toiling at the relatively meager price of $3.5M over two years, has been hot in Grapefruit League play hitting with power and a .400+ batting average. His defense has not been great but then neither has Flop’s.Yes I realize the Nats middle infield will be made up by often injured Cristian Guzman and a replacement level 2B in Ronny B.I hear food is gonna be good in the new Ballyard. It had better be… link

ESPN’s Baseball Challenge is the Best Fantasy Game

I must admit it…I am totally addicted to the ESPN Baseball Challenge, and if you are a stat head Money Ball fanatic like myself you will love it to, because the stats that are used for this fantasy game more accurately represent the true value of a player to his team.

Typical 5×5 Roisserie leagues are based around the categories of BA,HRs, SB, Hits and Runs. In ESPN’s Baseball Challenge points are assigned by total bases as well as runs and RBI. In other words OPS is part of the calculation. As far as pitching goes it is mostly about WHIP, strikeouts and wins. Saves aren’t valued as much as in Rotisserie since you pick a team’s staff for that game and not individual pitchers. A bad team pitching performance can earn you negative points. So choose wisely.

The idea is to garner the most points while staying under the salary cap of $50M. The players values can go up or down based on performance, so if you can find a hot player for cheap you hold onto him.

There is no draft. You just pick the best roster you can among the nine position players, a DH and the staff that gives you the most bang for the buck.

The game can be played in a weekly or daily format, and you play either half of the season or if you prefer the whole season.

Play it and you will gain more insight into the modern way of valuing baseball players.

MLB’s Lost 6: Players Who Got Off The Island in 2008

Lost fans finally know the identities of the Lost 6. In homage we will release the names of the six major leaguers who most improved there fortunes since 2007. The named players were those who most improved there chances for post-season glory, while at the same time will get more at bats and higher salaries. So without further ado let’s get to it.

1. Ryan Church (OF)..349/.464/.813

Church a streaky hitter for the Nats who had problems staying out of the doghouse and with the parent club is penciled in as the starting RF for the Mets, who will not repeat one of the greatest chokes of all time. With the off-season addition of Johan Santana, a more than serviceable rotation will compete to be among the leagues best. Suddenly Church has the chance to be a contender and the money is good too. He gets a raise from $395,000 to $2M per. Nice change for RC.

2. Brian Schneider (C) .235/.326/.561

From the same trade that sent Church to the Mets, Schneider will go from catching the pitcher-by- committee staff of John St. Claire to backstopping for the likes of Johan Santana, Pedro Martinez, John Maine, Oliver Perez, et. Al. Schneider who is credited with keeping the inexperienced and rehabilitating staff together will also see his salary doubled from a relatively paltry $2M to a that’s more like it $4m per annum.

3. Chris Snelling (OF).395/.333/.728

Snelling whose 2007 strange trip sent him from the Nationals to the A’s to the Rays gets his contract bought by the contending Phillies. He gets no salary bump but $450,000 is not bad for a replacement level player.

4. Gary Bennett (C) .286/.335/.621

Bennett leaves the Cardinals who for a change appears to be a long shot to make the playoffs. The Dodgers look like a lock for post season play and the sunny climate of Los Angeles should help his knees and extend his career. His salary will remain at $875,000 which is good for a Sunday and getaway day backstop.

5. Jacque Jones (OF) .335/.400/.735

Jones whose HR total sank from 27 in 2006 to just 5 in 2007 makes a move from the surprising Cubs to the high powered Tigers. The Cubs will be hard pressed to make it to the playoffs this year while the Tigers look like a lock. He will earn a hefty $16M over three years.

6. Andruw Jones (OF) .311/.413/.724

AJ may not seem to fit with the rest of the Lost 6, with the exception that magic maybe gone in Atlanta. The Mets and the Phillies appear to be the class of the division fro years to come. He will love LA and appears to be getting out of Atlanta at the right time. Look for a big year. Jones deal is for two years and $36.2M.

WashPost Reports; Acta Impressed by Kearns’ Power Surge…

WHAT!!!!!  A surge? The guy just got his first HR of the spring, it came against Jason Johnson a guy who hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2006 and who is unlikely to make the Dodgers 40 man roster. Hey I am all for optimism and I am a Nats fan , maybe a bit of a cynical one but a fan nonetheless. The guy whose batting average led me to give him the moniker AK-247 for his inability to  raise that average for most of the summer has been an underachiever since Bowden brought him here kicking and screaming from the Cincinnati Reds. He went over 100 at bats without a homer in 2007, yet Acta was reluctant to bench him perhaps because of undue influence from the real boss of the team Jim Bowden.

Bowden loves him some ex- Reds, witness Felipe Lopez part-time SS part-time 2B whose .957 fielding pct. was the lowest among all NL shortstops. Thank God Guzman is half-way back…but I digress from my original rant. The Nats need to get away from JB’s obsession from his Reds days or the organization is not gonna move forward. Also spend some $$$ on players. Look Lerners we gave you a $651M stadium…DC deserves more! We will not be taken advantaged of any longer (well maybe we will).